高盛维持黄金2014年看跌预期
关键字：高盛、黄金走势
【上午行情回顾】
今日凌晨时间美联储未有如预期宣布退市，每月购债规模维持每月850亿美元，联邦基金利率维持0-0.25厘不变，并重申失业率跌至6.5%或通胀不高于2.5%才考虑加息的承诺。主席伯南克在记者会上表示，购债计划未有预设方向。美股道指及标普指数齐创新高，金价及外汇旋即反弹。国际现货黄金窄幅震荡于1363美元/盎司附近，昨日收涨4.09%创2009年1月以来最大单日涨幅。
在今日凌晨美联储宣布维持QE规模不变后，黄金大涨超过50美元。分析师认为美联储维持宽松规模不变将令长期通胀风险上升。高盛表示，由于美联储推迟缩减QE，黄金短期看高，但是维持对黄金2014年年底看跌的预期。
【基本面分析】
昨晚早段时段都窄幅上落等待着全球焦点的消息，所以一直维持1295-1303美元区间，但当到达议息会议结束后，金价都慢慢走上来，直到凌晨2点美联储开启发布会，金价真正突破上来，黄金交易买盘井喷式增多。暂时最高见1368.2美元/盎司。
今早发布会当中，主席伯南克正式公布暂时不会退市，而多位官员都认为于2014年底前都不会提升利率，相信收到这个消息，黄金都会有一个中期的影响。
【技术分析】
在昨日行情的一波下探过后，短周期内可以多单处理，受到早上行情超买的影响，现时主盘继续为买家所持。第一阻力位1380，第二阻力位1400，视乎能否冲破，冲破后预计金价将在1400关口高位震荡，建议继续加仓持多。
今日金价预计在1348-1398波动。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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