熊傲君：貿易戰動槍了！金價如魚之得水也！
2018.04.04黃金策略
昨日回顧：昨日金價由於沖高後沒有獲得延續，再次陷入震蕩走勢，特別在歐盤時段壹舉破位亞盤低點1338，那基本意味著晚盤還會有壹波下行，總體將變為1330-1340區間震蕩，不過行情還是非常狡猾，先是歐盤早段作了虛假上行，壹度讓大家以為要上破，而美盤前也是再壹次誘惑大家，但最終金價受壓下行至1329壹線，這裏同樣是壹個虛假下破，不過實際上昨日就是修正行情為主。早間開盤小幅承壓整體還是偏弱，區間定義為1328-1336，不過隨後貿易戰加劇，金價直接破位1336，並且是在歐盤，目前已升至1340上方。
消息面：消息上之前中國宣布對美國關稅計劃的反制措施，引發市場對貿易戰的恐慌情緒，不過今日更是制出了強硬反擊，財政部網站公告稱，2018年4月4日，美國政府發布了加征關稅的商品清單，將對我輸美的1333項500億美元的商品加征25%的關稅。美方這壹措施違反了世界貿易組織規則，嚴重侵犯我國合法權益，威脅我國家發展利益。經國務院批準，國務院關稅稅則委員會決定對原產於美國的大豆、汽車、化工品等14類106項商品加征25%的關稅，貿易戰已經真正打開了。
今日展望：早間小幅承壓，整體方向其實並不明朗，嚴格來說我們需要等待1328-1336區間破位跟進，特別需要等待歐盤時間，不過在歐盤前夕，金價就有站穩1335之勢，然後隨著貿易戰消息的進壹步爆發，金價直接多頭攀升，壹舉重回1340上方，而且是歐盤的沖高，美盤恐還有爆發，不過也要小心避險帶來的上升預防不夠穩定，或需要等待均線組跟上，日線級別反吞，非常完美，在我心目中非農其實本次並不重要，重要還是本周最終呈現，若走好本月依舊是有機會直指1400。
從現貨黃金4小時圖看：金價目前已接近前高壹線，若能進壹步突破站穩，那麽金價勢必再次沖向前高，先是趨勢線1355壹線，再是1365壹線年內高點，再到上年高點1375都有望測試，本周還有小非農和非農數據，若金價依舊保持上節奏，多頭信心可以將繼續加強，本月依舊對多頭比較看好讓我們拭目以待，短線今晚的操作只剩下兩種，其壹突破前高回踩做多，其二均線上移後依靠均線做多。
操作建議： 1300-1320長線多單繼續耐心持有，今年目標依舊是1400上方，加息已過，繼續輕倉持有即可（本月有望到達）。短線今天建議繼續逢低做多為主，等待破高後回撤再跟進或回調均線再跟進。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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