熊傲君：加息終於落地，金價有望起航
2018.03.22黃金策略
昨日回顧：昨日金價保持震盪走勢為主，亞歐盤圍繞1320下方震盪，總體幅度不大，市場在等待加息利率決議，不過進入美盤卻提前有所反應，一度漲至1325一線附近，隨後維持1320上方震盪，公佈加息後，金價來回波動後隨即拉出大陽線，多頭開始發力，並且一舉突破1330，加息終於靴子落地，利空散盡金價或有望再次走出趨勢，目前價格圍繞在1330附近，若能企穩，日內有望進一步挑戰上方壓力。
消息面：資料上昨日重點就在於美聯儲加息上，美聯儲淩晨如期加息，但鮑威爾講話相對中性，令原本持鷹派預期的人大感失望，美元遭到明顯拖累，金價獲得了較強的上漲動能，另外，對美國關稅計畫的擔憂也給金價提避險支撐。今晚歐洲央行將公佈經濟公報，另外英國也迎來利率決議，已經加過息的英國會否有機會再度迎來加息或至少對未來表達信心，那麼屆時對美元可能仍有進一步衝擊，美國還有初請失業金等資料可以稍微留意。
今日展望：目前價格圍繞在1330附近，此處亦是前期的關鍵反壓位，昨夜已經成功突破，目前在回撤測試當中，若再退一步會出現在1325附近的頂底轉換，這幾處地方是多頭今日甚至後市要發力必須要站穩的地方，總體趨勢上嚴格意義來說仍未算反轉，技術形態上不宜操之過急，現階段是消息面終於告別一段利空的壓制，但是技術面仍需要更進一步的確認才能得出反轉的判斷，屆時金價將有望迎來至少兩個月的上漲機會。
從現貨黃金4小時圖看：昨晚強勢拉升後，金價重回1330上方，亦打破了近期的弱勢調整，當然目前還需要進一步的多頭延續才能確認，否則大陽不延續也是意義不大，現階段短期均線組呈現多頭排列，相對前期，多頭終於開始有所占優，下方MACD指標亦有上穿0軸的機會，目前等待市場回踩確認支撐，或歐盤能夠再度走強即可介入多單，操作上建議先觀察歐盤，日內以下方逢低做多為主，高空為輔，看好保持震盪反彈走勢。
操作建議： 1300-1320長線多單堅定持有，今年目標依舊是1400上方，加息已過，低點或也再難給予，繼續輕倉持有即可。短線關注1325-1340區間，歐盤強弱做日內節奏，或破位進行順勢跟進。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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