王垣鑫：直接起漲加息“教做人”行情重現？
今日淩晨美聯儲如期宣佈加息0.25%，此前已經跟大家提及過3月加息後黃金的走勢基本上在加息行情出現的瞬間出結果，若宣佈加息當時黃金是跳水行情，從下圖上一年6月份加息後的走勢可以得知接下來的一段時間內黃金將慣性下跌，其跌幅從起跌點開始算能達50美元以上。
若宣佈加息當時黃金是跳漲行情，則會出現截然不同的結果，從去年3月的走勢可以看出，一旦加息黃金直接起漲那麼接下來的一段時間內，黃金將會一路強勢上行，並且其上行幅度幾乎達100美元，在2017年12月也同樣走出了直接起漲後一路高歌猛進的走勢，其幅度從1245一路漲到1365，達120美元。當然這也受當時第一季度實物金需求旺季的影響，但撇除這一點3月份也能漲出近100美元的漲幅，可見後市漲幅之可觀，這一次從1319一線開始起漲，這一波往上攻擊1400應該不是夢。
回到短線繼續觀察加息直接起漲後當時的行情，可以發現金價基本沒有回檔低點可以供我們去低多，記憶力好的朋友或許會記得當時無論指標多麼有調整需求，還是出現背離，金價還是一路往上，頂多就出現橫盤調整，幅度10美元以內，這行情對於不停做反向單子或者是搶回檔的朋友來說基本就是“教做人”的行情了，所以最近這段時間建議還是以多為主要的操作方向，能給低點則低多，不能給到低點只要是做多，激進點做帶好止損也是沒有太大的問題，單子儘量拿長一點，從起漲點算起不到100美元也就是沒到1400，差一點的話沒到1375，中間儘量不要隨便把單子出掉，畢竟加息行情3個月一次，錯過這一次可能又要等一個季度了，也可以趁此機會好好鍛煉一下持單的心態。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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