美聯儲加息路徑不明朗，金價保持窄幅震盪
雖然昨日美元指數上漲，但全天時間裡面金價基本維穩，整體保持在1954-1966區間內進行窄幅震盪整理。投資者關注美聯儲繼續加息的可能性，並且在等待更多的線索，以在下周美聯儲公佈利率決議之前評估其利率路徑。
世界銀行上調今年全球經濟預期
世界銀行週二發佈預期，預計2023年全球經濟增長將好於此前預估，這要歸功於美國消費者支出的彈性以及亞洲國家今年早些時候快于預期的重新開放。不過該銀行仍然預計今年下半年的增長將放緩，且明年的擴張將變得遲緩。它警告稱，居高不下的通貨膨脹和利率上升正在給世界各地的經濟活動帶來壓力，尤其是在發展中國家。該行表示，目前全球經濟仍處於不穩定狀態。不過2023年的經濟前景略有改善，與其他公佈的資料相符。這些資料顯示，美國和歐洲大部分地區迄今為止避免了許多預測人士預計的將在2023年出現衰退。
美聯儲決議或將支撐金價
美聯儲將在6月14日舉行下一次利率決議。目前還不清楚美聯儲是否會決定暫停加息、再次加息，或者在本月暫停加息後可能在今年晚些時候加息。無論最終決定如何，黃金投資者仍可從這種貴金屬中獲益。
即使金價在另一次加息後確實略有降溫，作為分散投資組合和對沖其他市場(以及通貨膨脹)風險的一種方式，黃金的吸引力對長期計畫仍然是有用的。
其他投行也發佈對金價未來的預測。瑞銀稱，短期來看，從技術角度來看，金價有可能回檔至1870美元/盎司，重申2024年中期的目標價為2250美元/盎司。韓國央行稱，金價可能接近見頂。對黃金不利的更多因素是高利率和難以變現。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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