美元隨美債收益率上漲，日元跌至五年低點
周二(1月4日)美元指數漲0.06%至96.27，美債收益率曲線趨陡，對升息預期敏感的五年期美債收益率升至2020年2月以來最高水平，兩年期美債收益率在周一觸及22個月高位後小幅下滑，該收益率也反映出市場對利率的看法。
美聯儲漸進加息促美元溫和下跌
高盛認為，只要美聯儲加息維持循序漸進，美元年內將溫和下滑。高盛策略師Zach Pandl在研報中寫道，美元今年更有可能下跌而不是上漲，這是一種脫離共識的觀點。2022年初美元面臨的風險傾向于上行。加元今年將在G-10貨幣中表現最好，澳元將是表現最差的貨幣。除非歐洲央行轉向加息，否則其政策正常化將無法支持歐元。
歐元兌美元可能會在未來數周小幅走高，並重測1.1415水平
盡管上周五歐元兌美元上漲0.40%，但上漲動能未出現太大改善。也就是說，雖然在上漲動能回落之前，歐元仍存上漲至1.1390的空間，但不太可能觸及強阻力1.1415。過去數周歐歐元總體維持橫盤交易，上周五漲至1個月高點1.1386。上漲勢頭如果開始加大，歐美有望上行接近1.1415水平。但目前歐美突破1.1415的可能性並不大。下行方面，若跌破1.1310，則表明目前的上漲壓力已經得到緩解。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
最新內容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.