美元下跌瑞郎大漲，關注澳洲聯儲決議
周一(11月1日)美元指數跌0.29%，至93.87，前一交易日曾錄得逾四個月來的最大單日漲幅，交易員為本周備受期待的美聯儲政策會議做準備。本周市場聚焦美國、澳洲和英國的貨幣政策，美聯儲料將宣布縮減刺激政策，最近幾周這個因素已經提振美元上漲。
投資機構Columbia Threadneedle：料美聯儲將加快縮債步伐
美聯儲可能會加快縮減購債規模，比如每月削減300億美元的購債規模，而非預期的150億美元，以便更快地加息。更快的情景還包括強調通脹勢頭可能需要美聯儲作出回應的措辭。10年期美債收益率已經走高，但收益率曲線趨于平緩，而2年期利率波動仍是利率空間中最大的錯位。人們對美聯儲將按兵不動已經失去了信心（這一過程從9月的會議就已開始）。
大田環球分析師前瞻英國央行利率決議：不確定性很高
債券市場對英國央行加息的押注勢均力敵，加息的可能性為55% ，高于此前幾天的40%。不確定性高的原因很多，第一是缺乏有效的政策溝通；二是通脹的持久性難以評估，9月份整體CPI同比增長3.1%，顯著高于英國央行2%的目標；三是勞動力市場狀況表現較差；四是新冠疫情造成的不確定性。對于英國央行來說，再等一個月才把利率從0.1%上調至0.25%似乎是更謹慎的做法。對于英鎊而言，情況很簡單，若出現加息則跳升，否則就會暴跌。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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