拜登被曝還要放水3萬億美元，黃金空頭又要捲土重來？
關鍵詞：黃金空頭又要捲土重來
週一(3月29日)歐洲交易時段，市場情緒略有好轉，歐洲股市在很大程度上撇開了亞股尾盤的不安情緒。眼下，對沖基金、大宗交易、歐洲新冠病例增加以及蘇伊士運河疏通等消
息充斥市場，但對疫苗接種以及美國3萬億美元基建計畫的樂觀情緒仍支撐市場風險人氣，美元基本持穩，現貨黃金持續走低失守1730美元。
週一歐市盤中，現貨黃金維持跌勢，目前交投在1730美元下方，上周錄得三周來首個周線跌幅。
從技術面來看，黃金似乎沒有發生太大變化，在大舉押注方向之前，雙向價格走勢暗示需保持一定的謹慎。話雖如此，但黃金一再未能在更高水準上站穩腳跟，支撐了近期進一步下跌的前景。不過，若要確認看空偏向，則需要持續突破近兩周的交易區間支撐位，即1720美元附近。
越來越明顯的是，強勢美元是金價下跌背後的罪魁禍首。美國疫苗方面取得令人鼓舞的進展，激發了人們對美國經濟更快復蘇的希望，從而提振了人們對美元的興趣。如果美元在未來一周延續漲勢，這可能會拖累金價走低。如果歐洲的新冠肺炎相關擔憂加劇了風險規避，金價仍可能反彈。
現階段來看，技術面有利於空頭，周收盤價若低於1730美元，從而加快向1700美元和週期低點的下跌。
基本面來看，分析指出，在經濟前景改善的支撐下，美元和全球股市走堅，債券收益率居於高位也令金價進一步承壓。
美元本周伊始走堅，因美國經濟強勁，且疫苗接種進度遠遠快於歐洲，吸引投資者買入美元。
歐洲的Covid-19危機本周可能會進一步分化，法國和德國的公共衛生狀況惡化，不過英國週一採取了進一步措施放鬆封鎖。
“焦點基本仍將在歐洲疫情方面，以及抗疫封鎖是否可以減緩病例數增長，還有疫苗接種是否最終能提速等，”ING經濟學家在每日報告中稱。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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