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金價有所回落,德拉基鴿派不及預期

關鍵字:金價有所回落

7月25日,現貨黃金維持回落走勢,在美國數據公佈以及歐洲央行行長德拉基講話後回落。美國耐用品數據表現良好,同時德拉基沒有向市場預期那樣表明鴿派,金價出現回落並跌破1420關口。

歐洲央行行長德拉基召開新聞發佈會,強調需要顯著規模的刺激措施,但預期年底通脹回升。德拉基的鴿派基調不及預期,這樣市場對全球央行寬鬆的預期降溫,這對金價不利。

經濟增速方面,德拉基認為,勞動力成本壓力有所增強,就業和薪資增長支撐經濟增長,服務業、建築業表現出韌性。

歐洲央行本周仍缺乏祭出全面寬鬆計畫的緊迫性。一些決策者認為,經濟前景與幾個月前相比並未發生根本性轉變,所以歐洲央行應等待9月內部工作人員新的通脹和成長預估,之後再校準下一步行動。

此外該數據分項方面,美國6月扣除飛機非國防耐用品訂單月率初值實際公佈1.9%,預期0.2%,前值0.5%;美國6月扣除運輸耐用品訂單月率初值實際公佈1.2%;預期0.2%,前值0.4%。

分析師表示,“從過去三天開始,黃金價格一直受到區間波動的影響。一些基金經理開始關閉一些頭寸以準備美聯儲會議。”

分析師表示,“在關鍵事件發生之前,人們喜歡鎖定一些利潤,因為沒有人知道接下來會發生什麼。有些人可能會利用波動來推動價格小幅走低,並在下跌後買回。總體而言,從長期來看,我們仍然看好黃金。”

分析師認為,看跌標普500指數和看漲黃金策略的某種結合是有道理的,當前,美元已經接近數十年高點,如果再繼續上漲,對於美國經濟的影響是特朗普不願意看到的。


本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬

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