金價再創新高,皆因避險情緒高漲?
關鍵字:避險情緒高漲
黃金在週四(6月6日)表現較佳,黃金T+D價格自2013年4月以來,首次獲得新高,現貨黃金價格亦走高,總體保持在1335美元/盎司之上。金價已經連續多日保持上漲,或許這是因為由始至終市場避險情緒高漲,而且美聯儲將有機會採取更寬鬆的政策,導致資金回流到避險資產上面。
週四現貨黃金走高至1335美元/盎司上方。隔夜現貨黃金價格一度突破1340美元/盎司水準,創下2月下旬以來的最高水準,距離突破2月的高點僅一步之遙。而黃金T+D上漲0.59%至299.2元/克,創2013年4月以來的新高至301.1元/克。
此外,在金價過去5個交易日裏大漲70美元之後,一些投資者們選擇獲利了結。
長期來看,黃金會持續眼下的多頭趨勢。美聯儲政策會出現轉向,其鴿派傾向陷入支撐黃金打壓美元。美元指數週三一度大幅下降刷新3月27日以來最低水準96.7356。
週三晚間公佈的“小非農”ADP數據表現遠低於預期,這被認為和貿易爭端有關系。受此影響,黃金受到大幅提振。
技術面來看,黃金可能回到1315至1321美元/盎司區域。他表示,週三金價觸及1344左右的高位後回落,表明了從上周開始的上行趨勢可能遭到逆轉。
一些分析師表示,目前金價可能正接近高點,能否繼續上漲取決於市場是否繼續擔心貿易糾紛將抑制全球經濟增長。
美聯儲正在確認即將降息,所以越來越多的資金重新回流到黃金市場,過去數月金價在1275美元到1300美元之間窄幅徘徊,但目前,諸多因素正在幫助金價走出窄幅區間。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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