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非農前瞻,黃金變為強弩之末

本週五20:30將公佈美國非農就業數據報告。作為本周最重磅的數據,其自然吸引著投資者的目光。本文將從美國非農就業報告預測、美元兌日元展望、以及金價預測進行分析。

本週五(4月6日)20:30將公佈美國非農就業數據報告。這可以說是本周最重磅的數據了,因此自然吸引著投資者的目光。分析師認為,相較於上月靚麗的非農表現,本次的數據將更為溫和,但薪資增長依舊是關注的焦點,而美元或獲得非農的部分支撐。自去年年底出現的美日匯價下行趨勢或將終止,美元將迎來新的上漲。另外,隨著市場風險偏好的改善,金價面臨著下行風險。

上個月,美國非農就業報告表現靚麗。本次這一報告將於本週五晚間公佈,分析師認為,這次的數據將更為溫和,但市場的焦點將依舊在薪資增長上。預計美國3月平均每小時工資月率將在0.3%,這將推升美國3月平均每小時工資年率到2.7%,從而進一步支持美聯儲的看漲立場。

市場對週五美國非農就業報告的樂觀預期應該會為美元提供進一步的刺激,而美元兌日元將是本周關注的重點。

由於全球風險事件有所緩解,市場情緒整體上來說仍然樂觀。黃金價格從此前的1325美元支撐位反彈,但基本面和技術面的預測表明,隨著市場風險偏好的改善,金價或很快再次測試該支撐位,而其下一個支撐位在1,310美元。


本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬

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