现货白银的价格走势
关键字：现货白银价格走势
现货白银每年约50%的需求来自工业，虽然投资需求增长迅速，但仍只占总需求的16.84%。根据GFMS的预测，到2015年白银的工业使用量将接近其总需求的70%。白银的商品属性将会是持续影响白银价格的最关键的因素之一。
考察过去十年现货白银价格走势变化，2003年白银价格上涨了28%，主要源于强劲的投资和制造加工需求，特别是从第三季度开始看到明显的价格上涨。到了2004年白银价格进一步增长，主要源于投资者对白银兴趣的增长，这一年机构买方投资者在期货交易所有大量操作。05、06两年这种趋势得到延续，特别是06年银价实现了50%左右的增长，达到了26年的高点，一个标志性的事件是首只白银ETF Barclays的iShares Silver Trust在06年4月份出现。
由于白银70%的生产来自于铜、铅、锌的伴生矿，因此白银的独立生产成本相对较低，而且由于各个产商生产技术的差异，白银生产成本相差较大。根据2009年的数据统计，全球前16大白银生产企业生产白银的平均成为为5.75美元/盎司，较2008年增长约6%，而该年的白银均价为14.68美元/盎司，下跌约2%。白银价格与生产成本相差较远，价格受成本影响较小。
为了应付08年金融危机以来的经济衰退，各国央行不断扩大资产负债表，推行宽松的货币政策，向市场持续注入流动性，通胀在全球蔓延，纸币购买力不断下降。面对通胀的侵蚀，投资者们不断买入金银进行资产保值，2011年欧美债务危机大爆发，推升黄金白银价格的暴涨，金银价格不断走高。虽然白银具有避险属性，但是由于其工业需求巨大，商品属性会抑制经济危机中白银价格的上涨，投资者需要根据特殊情况具体分析。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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