欧洲央行利率对黄金的影响
关键字：欧洲央行利率对黄金的影响
欧洲央行利率对黄金价格有什么影响？本月4号欧央行举行的9月议息决议中，欧央行公布9月欧元区基准利率从0.15%下调至0.05%，负存款利率由-0.1%下调为-0.2%，欧洲央行行长德拉基发言称，将实现5000亿欧元的资产购买规模，包括担保债券和资产支持证券的购买。
欧央行下调利率基点的原因，在于解决欧元区主要货币欧元的流动性过少问题，早前因欧元流动性过低，导致欧元币值居高不下，从而导致欧元区陷入低通胀危机，摧毁了欧元区的经济发展，下调利率基点，则提高了欧元的市场流动性，为欧元区经济注入动力。而确定购买担保债券和资产证券计划，使欧元处于量化宽松的状态，主要是因为欧元区2014年GDP的增速被下修，另外二季度较一季度经济增速要低，欧元区的经济复苏在第三季度已经失去周期性增长动能，故德拉基希望通过宽松的货币政策，为经济增长做更大努力。
事实告诉我们，由于欧洲央行基准利率下调了10个基点，打压欧元走软，那么作为欧元最大的对手——美元，将遭受被动上涨的压力，而黄金作为大宗商品则是以美元计价，美元上涨，导致以非美货币普遍承压，从而使美元计价的黄金显得格外昂贵，打压了投资者的购买需求，故黄金则呈现了下跌行情，而从长期来看，欧央行下调利率，欧元则处于低息的汇市交易环境下，投资者做空意愿大于做多，导致欧元走势疲软，美元则被动上涨从而推高美元指数，一定程度促使美联储维持较低利率，避免美元不断升值，以美元计价的黄金则获得支持。
所以欧洲央行利率对黄金价格的影响，是通过欧元走势左右投资者的品种选择，从而传递到黄金市场而产生的，一般情况下，欧洲央行利率变化会直接推动欧元走势变动，根据投资者对欧元区经济和欧系货币对美元走势的解读来指导黄金价格。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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