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GDP对黄金价格的影响

关键字:GDP对黄金价格的影响

国内生产总值GDP是一个领土面积内的经济情况的度量。它被定义为所有在一个国家内一段特定时间(一般为一年)里所有生产产品和货物的总值。它与国民生产总值(GNP)不同之处在于,GDP不将国与国之间的收入转移计算在内。。GDP的增长率我们也成为经济增长率。该指标是宏观经济中最受关注的经济统计数字,因为它被认为是衡量国民经济发展情况最重要的一个指标。

GDP对黄金的影响:美元区的GDP与黄金却恰好成反比,欧元区的GDP与黄金却恰好成正比。

首先,从消费角度上讲,GDP增长放缓预示着较低的消费需求从而抑制黄金价格,但美国的消费需求与GDP增长率的关联性相对较小从而使得当GDP增长放缓是实际上对黄金价格的负面影响较小。

另一方面,从市场影响角度上讲,当美国GDP增长放缓时,往往会引发资本市场的回调以及避险情绪的产生,这反而会在短线尺度上推升黄金价格。

因为黄金的消费需求较为稳定而避险需求往往会导致金价出现上升,所以综合影响就是:当GDP小于预期或者较前期明显放缓时,将会金价形成短线支撑,反之亦然。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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