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联储会议将临 现货黄金屏息以待

关键字:现货黄金走势分析

【行情回顾】

周二亚洲盘中,国际现货黄金价格在千三关口震荡徘徊,虽然短期内空头略占上风,但是黄金价格尚未出现明确的走势方向,因乌克兰局势继续趋于缓和,避险情绪回落,刺激美元、美债收益率及欧美股市反弹,导致金价出现小幅下跌。

【基本面分析】

昨日,欧盘时段公布了欧元区6月的贸易帐数据。从结果来看,欧元区的贸易状况急转直下。尽管未季调数据有所上升,但是几条后数据出现了大幅的下滑。有鉴于欧元区国家多为出口导向型经济体,这一数据的走软意味着其经济状况的下滑。晚些时候,美国公布了8月的NAHB房价指数,结果变化不大。地缘政治方面,俄乌问题和伊拉克冲突暂时趋于稳定,但巴以谈判已接近最后期限却仍无进展,新一轮的地缘问题将有可能会对市场造成新的冲击。

而市场关注的焦点则在于美联储将于本周四召开一年一度的会议,其主题为”重估劳动力市场动态”。会议将会就美国劳动力市场的状况作出分析,并会对未来美联储的货币政策走向进行讨论。其重要性不亚于每次的议息会议,并且该会议将会给出更多的指引信息。而近期美国经济数据表现较好,所以市场认为联储将会偏向于紧缩的货币方针,这对于贵金属市场将会构成较为不利的影响。

日内支撑位:1297 1294 1287

日内压力位:1300 1304 1308

【技术分析】

由黄金日K线图上看,黄金近期仍然处于震荡下跌的走势当中,空头力量有所削弱。而由4小时的图上来看,均线系统偏向于空头排列,MACD指标的快慢线在0轴附近运行,绿色动能柱有所增长。RSI指标在50线附近运行,短期内没有明确的方向指示。整体来看,黄金价格短期内有止跌迹象,建议投资者日内适当逢低做多,建议介入位置1296,盈利目标1303.



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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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