地缘矛盾日益严重 黄金低位蓄势
关键字：现货黄金走势分析
【行情回顾】
国际现货金价周三早盘出现小幅上扬，因美股下挫及逢低承接买盘扶助金价从稍早因强劲美国经济数据引发的跌势中反弹。同时，地缘政局忧虑重燃也利多金价。而在低位持续震荡的贵金属，在累积量能之后，有望迎来一波新的反弹。
【基本面分析】
昨晚美国公布的6月工厂订单数据增幅超预期，因需求全面增长。数据公布后，金价一度下滑。近期美国经济数据直指经济活动不断增强，打压黄金作为投资人对冲工具的吸引力。
不过此后，在美股重磅上市公司二季度财报表现不佳且中国经济数据表现低迷的影响下，美股大跌，之后金价反弹。此外，俄罗斯对美欧新制裁措施做出的强硬回应也使得地缘局势忧虑升温，促使黄金价格自低位反弹。而地缘政治局势方面，波兰外长称，俄罗斯屯兵乌克兰边境是在向乌施压，或者是为了入侵乌克兰做准备，消息一出令美股盘中大幅跳水。黄金迅速反弹，自1285美元上涨至1292美元。
【技术分析】
伦敦金昨日晚间主要以窄幅震荡为主要走势，从4小时K线图上看上来看，均线系统的粘合状态继续维持。MACD指标的快慢线仍在0轴下方运行，红色量能有所缩短。RSI指标在50线附近运行，短期内有轻微的向下指示。由短期走势上看来看，黄金价格有止跌的迹象，加上地缘政治因素影响，建议投资者适当逢低做多。
日内支撑位：1285 1280 1276
日内压力位：1288 1294 1297
由黄金日K线图上看，现货黄金日线昨日再度收出小阴线，最高上冲到1295附近，而日内低位1286附近出现反弹，可见短期内黄金的上行压力较为明显，但由于地缘政治问题越发严重，尤其俄罗斯可能会对乌克兰动武，加上黄金下方支撑力度强悍，因此建议黄金投资的投资者逢低做多，建议介入位置1285，盈利目标1293.
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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