现货黄金横盘整理 关注夜间非农指引
关键字：本日现货黄金行情
7月31日欧盘中段，国际现货黄金为弱势运行格局，由于市场交投情绪谨慎，金价承压于1300下方，经历较弱反弹至日内高位1297以后，由于纽盘时段的美国初请失业金数据仍位于历史低点附近，美元兑一篮子货币持续走强，金价大幅下挫，虽然7月美国芝加哥采购经理人指数大幅差于预期，而7月劳动力市场的明显增长，促使市场风险情绪继续占主导地位，金价于纽盘中段和尾段均以下跌行情为主，日收1283.22美元/盎司，较亚盘开盘价下跌了14.59美元。本日亚市早盘，金价以弱势反弹为主，走势保持疲软。
本日夜间市场将迎来美国经济的重磅数据，7月非农就业人数报告，市场预期非农就业岗位将增加23.1万个，而失业率则维持在6.1%。从已经公布的7月就业指标来看，非农报告有望继续为市场带来惊喜，与非农高度正相关的ADP就业人数就维持在21.8万的高位。若本日夜间的7月非农数据延续前5个月的向好趋势，黄金白银等贵金属将面临进一步大幅回调的风险，而昨夜美股的获利回吐，反映市场风险偏好有所缩减，市场将等候美联储未来公布更多关于加息日程的指引，另外提前加息的预期短期内可能抑制了金融市场的投机行为，对风险资产构成打压，若投机资本从主要股市逃离属于暂时性，贵金属后市或带来资金重新流入的机会。
从伦敦金技术分析上看，日线图上K线受昨日开出较长阴烛的形成的空盘抛压后，本日出现筑底反弹，而技术指标MACD和KDJ日内走势较弱，金价上方受均线系统的压制，下方为20日布林下轨1277的支撑，小时图上，由于5日和10日均线形成金叉，金价短时将获得上行动能，KDJ指标从超卖区向上运行，走势逐渐增强，日间投资者观望为主，关注夜间消息面的推动，本日关键支撑位1283,1280,1276，关键阻力位1287,1292,1297。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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