通胀值符合美联储长期目标 现货黄金下跌
关键字：本日现货黄金行情
7月30日欧洲时段，国际现货黄金呈现窄幅运行格局，随后在低点1297位置略作反弹，反映空头获利出逃，而金价却始终承压在1300下方，纽盘开市后，由于美国二季度GDP增长意外好于市场预期，提振了市场对美国经济发展的乐观情绪，美元受到提振，从而压制黄金的上行，稍后本日凌晨时段公布美联储7月议息会议声明中，表示每月缩减购债共100亿美元不变，国际金价日内最低价仍位于1290上方，为1291.52美元/盎司，日收1296.33美元/盎司，较当日亚盘开盘价下滑了7.95美元。本日亚洲早盘时段，国际金价延续隔夜盘的窄幅震荡走势。
昨夜公布的美国二季度个人消费支出物价年率初值和核心个人消费支出物价指数季率初值均好于预期，GDP平减指数年率则从1.3%改善至2.0%，反映美国经济通胀指数向符合美联储要求的2%的通胀目标迈进，若通胀升幅提前，美联储的结束量化宽松货币政策的意愿将更为强烈。而稍后公布的7月美联储议息决议内容中，尚未提及加息日程，保持现有低利率0-0.25%不变，并把每月现在的350亿美元的购债规模缩减至250亿美元，从短期内看，在低利率的金融环境下，黄金作为零利息的资产将继续受投资者追捧，从长期来看，若美国经济持续向好，且通胀速度快于美联储的设想预期，加息日程将被提上议息会议的讨论中，黄金后市将进入下行通道。
从伦敦金技术分析上看，4小时图上K线沿均线系统下跌，附图指标MACD和RSI拐点向下运行，下行为昨日的最低价1291.5，一旦下破1291，金价或向下运行至1287较强支撑位，从小时图上看，K线上方受5日和10日均线形成死叉后的压制，亚盘早间的K线呈下行格局，均线系统呈空头排列，附图指标MACD快慢线在0轴钝化整理，红烛放量缩减至0轴附近，KDJ三线拐点均向下运行。整体上看，金价日内继续回调的可能性较大，建议日内金价反弹至1300附近可进场布空单，本日关键支撑位1292,1288，关键阻力位1295,1300。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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