机构看空后市 黄金价格弱势反弹
关键字:现货黄金价格
周二欧洲盘中,国际现货黄金行情延续早盘的反弹走势,涨幅有所扩大,但是反弹幅度有限,仍未能突破1250关口的压制,虽然在连续下跌之后,黄金累积了一定幅度的反弹动能,但这只是属于技术性的超跌反弹,若无基本面的利好支撑,反弹过后的黄金将会重归跌势。
此前,黄金曾一度受到追捧,一段时间内价格上涨了近3倍,而投资性需求和实物买需成为了其背后推动力。但是,近日现货黄金和现货白银相关的ETF基金和CFTC黄金期货净持仓的同步大幅减持。根据美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC) 5月30日发布的最新报告报告显示,5月20日至27日当周,COMEX黄金投机净多头头寸减少21965张合约,至68393张合约,表明对冲基金大规模削减了黄金净多头头寸。
而对于黄金后续走势,一向唱空黄金的高盛集团依旧坚守自己的观点,其指出,尽管弱于预期的经济数据和克里米亚危机使得黄金自1月至3月中旬大幅走高,但是之后美国经济数据的改善以及地缘政治紧张局势趋缓令黄金于4月初开始回吐涨幅。高盛预计,美国经济仍然将持续加速,因此黄金价格将持续走低,或将跌至1050美元/盎司。而回顾近期黄金的走势,由于利好因素的不断消失,黄金的下挫走势也成为必然。
技术分析:由于国际现货黄金上周已经出现了连续多日下跌,多个技术性支撑位已经宣告失守,黄金自跌破1300整数关口以来,由近期走势上看,已经打开了新的下跌通道,虽然短期内黄金在技术上有反弹要求,但是现货黄金仍然维持在布林线下轨之下,说明短期内黄金仍然有下跌空间。我们大田贵金属建议投资者做单仍然以空单为主。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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