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印度或放宽黄金管制 现货黄金静待机会

关键字:现货黄金走势

欧洲盘中,国际现货黄金再度出现一波小幅下跌,由于德国销售数据不佳,导致欧元和大宗商品出现承压,使黄金也出现了一波跳水走势。现货黄金现正交投于1255一线位置,回吐了今日早盘的反弹涨幅,虽然黄金的走势处于弱势当中,但是短期内仍然具备反弹机会。

在国际金价周二周三连续两个交易日大幅下跌的情况下,印度国内金价也在过去四个交易日内跌去了80卢比一克。但即使是这样的低价,印度的金饰商和消费者们仍然在耐心等待,他们认为黄金进口关税很快就会被降低。一些印度的珠宝商们称,金饰订单放缓,因为市场预计印度政府将削减进口关税。珠宝商们也自称在等待新政府做出行动后再下单。而此前印度政府已经对黄金政策有所放松,允许更多机构进口黄金,这将印度国内的黄金价格贴水会出现较大幅度的下降。

而南非标准银行也对金价前景表示乐观,该行表示,对黄金的需求仍有改善的空间,特别是来自印度的黄金需求,如果印度关于黄金的进口管制和关税进一步放宽的话,将有利于黄金价格走强。虽然近来有利于黄金走势的利好因素正不断消失,但是来自印度和中国的黄金需求短期能仍能支撑金价,在经历过大幅下跌之后的黄金,预期跌幅将会较为有限。

技术分析:由黄金日K线图上看,由于短期内黄金已经击破前期1277低位,均线系统呈现空头排列状态,在黄金上行方向上成为较强的压力线。同时,布林线开口在黄金选择向下突破后出现了发散迹象,表示短期内黄金仍处于空头市场的控制当中。但是,黄金连日下跌已经累计了较大的跌幅,加上持续在布林线的下轨运行,在技术上存在反弹需求,建议做空的投资者适当控制仓位



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