市场交投冷淡 黄金未有突破
关键字:本日现货黄金走势预测
5月23日国际现货黄金走势相当平淡,日内呈现弱势整理格局,市场交投谨慎,利多和利空消息各占一半,欧盘时段欧元区的德国经济景气判断指数开差,日本央行黑田东彦讲话为继续日本量化宽松政策后美元指数大幅拉升,黄金则反弹乏力,自亚盘的技术性反弹后涨幅收窄,纽盘时段开始后,美国公布的4月新屋销售数据向好,强化市场对美联储提早结束量化宽松规模和出台新型加息工具的预期,黄金备受打压,最低下挫至每美元1285盎司,日内最后收于1293位置。
现时市场多空分歧正在放大,多头受印度人民党首领迪拜当选为印度总统的鼓舞而做多黄金,因预期印度将放宽黄金进口措施,而中国地区实物黄金投资者需求一直在缓慢增长,数据显示在2014上半年全球黄金需求减少的情况下中国的金饰销量逆势增长了10%,俄罗斯和土耳其等东欧国家也在增持黄金储备。空方主要是全球性投行出现看空金价的高度一致和美国经济的持续向好,抑制了黄金的反弹势头。故现时国际金价呈现多空交织格局,市场正等待大行情突破口的出现。
经历了周日的乌克兰选举后黄金波澜不惊地继续横盘整理,日内由于美国和英国的公众假期休市,故日内估计现货黄金继续区间窄幅震荡为主,还需视乎明日市场对大选的后续消化对金价作出指引,同时欧洲议会选举将对欧央行进行量化宽松预期起到一定的支撑或阻力作用,而欧元区量化宽松政策的预期出台将视乎购买债券或黄金储备,届时黄金将引来一番明朗行情。
技术分析上,国际金价连续七周维持三角形整理形态,日波幅越来越窄,金价曾经穿破1300以上均掉头向下,在现货黄金行情未破位前,料将延续弱势震荡格局,均线系统粘合、MACD和RSI均没明显指引,且出现缓慢下行迹象,日内建议超短线操作,盈利空间不超6美元。
做多:开仓1290,止损1285,目标1296,
做空:开仓1298,止损1303,目标1292。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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