乌克兰周末大选 黄金静待指引
关键字：现货黄金走势
今日日内国际现货黄金和现货白银维持日内震荡整理格局，就今日的表现来看，并未看出有弱势走强的迹象。国内黄金和白银继续跟随贵金属市场震荡整理的可能性较大，由于周末有乌克兰大选，建议投资者在操作上需要更为谨慎。
由于近期黄金走势主要以震荡为主，市场观望气氛浓厚，而地缘政治问题一直此起披伏，黄金受到避险资金流入，而具备强势支持。例如近期的朝韩，泰国等一系列国家都出现了较为突然的军政问题，自昨日朝鲜向朝韩边境发射导弹之后，今日朝鲜再度向韩国海军舰艇附近发射导弹。同样是亚洲地区，在离朝韩地区不远的泰国，军方近日再度实行政变，军方维和指挥中心已从看守政府手中接管权力。军方承认，斗争两派的主要政党领导人、两派民间运动的主要领导人以及其他重要政治人员已经被军方逮捕。这些地缘政治事件，也是近期黄金持续走强的重要因素。
而乌克兰则在本周末举行大选，但是在大选之前该国再度发声流血冲突，昨日亲俄武装分子与乌克兰安保人员在工业重镇顿涅茨克发生冲突，分裂分子攻击了一处军事检查站，造成多人伤亡。同时，市场也担忧俄罗斯将会在乌克兰大选前后进行阻挠，而美国方面也首先放话，若俄方干扰本周日的大选，将会受到西方国家的严厉制裁。
技术分析：由于本周以来，黄金价格均处于窄幅震荡区间当中，而近几日黄金的K线走势均显示黄金较为缺乏上涨动能，同时1305区域的阻力明显，而短期支撑位置则在1285一线位置。由小时图上看，金价强势拉升，但1300关口上方阻力强大。整体来看，今日金价仍难以突破三角形震荡区间，只能继续受阻于1300整数关口，建议在该档下方逢高做空，如有获利则可先行落袋为安，并静待周末的乌克兰大选结果，再行决定重点持仓方向。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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