黄金机构持仓稳定 静待入市良机
关键字:现货黄金走势
昨日亚盘时段金价走势相对稳定,欧盘时段后,黄金有所下行,晚间美盘时段开启后黄金市场遭遇5.2亿美元空单砸盘,但奇怪的是,如此大额的空单居然只令黄金价格跌去了7美元。这与去年数次大卖单砸盘发生熔断机制的情况大有区别,而当时空单的数额也不过2亿美元。这说明市场内部仍有一股力量在支撑着金价。
根据最新数据显示,全球最大的现货黄金ETF——SPDR在少见的增持之后,随着现货黄金价格的宽幅震荡,近期的持仓未有明显的举动,不过我们可以看到基金在截至近期的持仓中,其持仓量为780.19,近期小幅减持1.79,综合来看基金看淡现货黄金后市有所改观。而白银ETF截止到20日,近期持仓有了明显的变动,在2月15日减持59.84,而2.19日增持119.67吨,2月23日增持65.82吨,2月27增持44.87,而在5日大幅度增持20.93吨,目前持有10320.26,总体来看,五月初的贵金属基金市场情绪仍偏向于谨慎。
而另一方面,虽然现货黄金和现货白银再去年都遭逢大跌的厄运,但是白银ETF的持仓量的波动幅度却远小于黄金ETF,或许是投资者似乎对持有白银更有信心,或许是白银今年的反弹也远不如黄金,所以白银的走势今年也远比黄金稳健,所白银ETF今年的持有量并未出现黄金ETF那样的大量流出。
技术分析:由于今日黄金的震荡走势仍在继续,由黄金日K线图上看,黄金已经有将近一个月的时间在1280-1310区间窄幅震荡,而且由时间窗口上看,这种震荡区间极小的窄幅震荡持续时间将不会太长。而另一方面,由技术层面上看,布林线三线持续走平,喇叭口处于较为完全的收窄状态当中,同时,现货黄金的三角形整理形态已经处于末端走势。综上所述,黄金在这次的变盘之后,将会迎来一波幅度较大的行情
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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