实物黄金需求增加 黄金后市仍有机会
关键字:现货黄金走势
欧洲盘中,黄金由于在1300关口屡攻不下,导致短期内多头信心有所缺失,而贵金属市场也受此影响,在走势当中再次显得较为弱势。由于今天晚上有数位美联储鹰派官员说话,市场普遍预期美联储将会慢慢透露QE的退出时间和加息时间,因此对黄金的短期走势不甚乐观。
虽然短期内黄金走势仍然受到美联储政策方向影响,但是由中长期上看,作为全球最大黄金消费国的中国和印度所提供的实物黄金消费需求,将为黄金带来实质性的支撑。世界黄金协会(WGC)近日发布一季度黄金需求趋势报告指出,由于中国春节以及金价偏低等因素提振中国金饰需求,抵消了总体投资需求的下滑,一季度总体黄金需求延续了去年同期的强势。
印度和中国是世界黄金珠宝需求的两大最主要来源。然而过去几年,由于进口限制问题,印度黄金需求迟迟没有得到释放。一季度中国金饰需求同比增长9%,印度却下降了9%。但是,制约印度黄金需求的一大问题——进口限制问题很可能在近期有望得到解决。由于印度总理大选后,莫迪顺利当选新总理,而莫迪对黄金进口被人为人持开放态度,因此市场预期莫迪在执政期间将会放开黄金进口,因此印度的黄金需求有望上升。
技术分析:由黄金日K线图上看,黄金在昨晚收出小阴星之后,截至目前为止,黄金也是再度以十字星走势示人,说明黄金走势短期内尚未有明确的方向性。而由小时图上看,黄金开始触及近期低位1287一线,由于该位置支撑力度较强,若无利空打压,预计黄金在此仍然具备较强的反弹能力,由于今晚联储有多位官员发表讲价,建议投资者在消息出现后再行做单。
操作建议:
做多:开仓1287 止盈1297 止损1280
做空:开仓1299 止盈1291 止损1305
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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