关注欧央行动态 黄金或能绝地反击
关键字：现货黄金行情
周四欧洲盘前，黄金现货价格依然在低位窄幅震荡，日内波动幅度极小，而多空双方明显都在观望当中，导致盘中交易寥寥。直到现时为止，黄金在日线图上是小阳星形态，预示着市场的观望气氛相当浓厚，预计今晚欧央行和美联储的讲话将会再度为黄金指引短期方向。
欧元区4月制造业和服务业PMI数据显示目前欧元区经济扩张乐观，而市场预期欧央行周四将维持政策不变，不过欧央行行长德拉吉新闻发布会讲话仍受关注。欧元/美元过去一年来上涨近7%，路透最新调查显示，分析师认为欧元可能需要触及1.42水平才会刺激欧央行采取行动压低欧元汇率，不过大部分受访分析师对欧元能否进一步大幅走高持谨慎看法。类似美联储，欧央行目前政策声明亦可能无需太多变化，而QE政策也将会是欧央行的隐藏底牌之一
另外，今日晚间美联储主席耶伦还将在美国华盛顿参议院预算委员会就经济展望提供的证词。虽然周三耶伦的证词鲜有新意，但也不排除她在今天的证词中再度说出一些出乎市场意料之外的言论，从而造成金融市场异动的可能性。而乌克兰局势动态发展，市场避险情绪的紧张和缓和都将对金融市场造成较大的影响。
技术分析：由黄金日K线图上看，黄金在昨日晚间大跌之后，今天日间有所回稳，但是观望气氛仍然浓厚。现货黄金价格在跌穿1300关口和布林线中轨的强支撑位置之后，布林线喇叭口仍然处于收缩状态，并没有出现明显的发散迹象，说明市场尚未进行方向性选择，而在观望当中。而MACD指标在金叉之后，红柱实体有所缩短，说明多头力量有所减弱，由于今晚美联储和欧央行均有重要讲话，建议投资者在此之前暂时以观望为主。
操作建议：
做多：开仓1290 止盈1298 止损1281
做空：开仓1301 止盈1292 止损1308
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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