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重磅数据争相出炉 现货黄金面临抉择

关键字:现货黄金走势

今日晚间美国将公布3月ADP就业人数变动,市场预期为增加19.5万人。由于其计算方法和美国劳工部每月的劳工市场数据相类似,且于劳工部数据公布前两天公布,因此通常被视为每月非农就业报告前的先行参考指标,因而有“小非农”之称。而眼下市场纷纷看好美国第二季度就业市场前景,料将再次提振美元使金价走出目前的震荡格局。

投资者其次要关注欧元区GDP数据,虽然市场普遍认为欧洲央行在本次决议中不会采取行动,欧洲央行的官员也多次表态指出欧元区不存在通缩,但是如果GDP数据疲弱的话,也会对欧元这几日的涨势带来强大的压力,而与欧元成80%左右正相关的黄金等贵金属料将继续下挫。

技术分析:由现货黄金的技术走势上看,日K线图显示,黄金仍旧处于下降通道当中,暂时还没看到触底的迹象,同时均线空头排列问题依然存在,金价短期内的压力位置处于5日均线的1285一线位置。虽然MACD绿柱量能有所缩小,KDJ有低位金叉的出现苗头,而今早的智利地震也让日内的黄金走势变得稍有底气,由于黄金近期已经有较大跌幅,不排除在短期内出现反弹。

操作方向:反弹的目标在斐波那契回调线23.6%的位置,大概位于1293一线;后市目标1302。激进者日内可以选择在1280-1282一带做多黄金,止损1278,止盈1293-1300。



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