黄金受下降趋势影响 短期弱势难改
关键字：现货黄金趋势
因当前市场普遍预期周五(4月4日)公布的美国3月非农数据将优于预期，令美联储提早退出QE及升息的预期升温，金价日内小幅下跌，并录得今年来首次月度跌幅。
著名投行美银美林周一在报告中写道，预计今年三季度黄金价格有潜在修正下跌的可能性。美银美林将2014年二季度的黄金均价预估定在1350美元/盎司，但预计三季度金价将跌至1250美元/盎司。
贝莱德全球矿业信托经理Catherine Raw周一在接受媒体采访时称，继2013年国际金价大跌28%后，预计今年剩下的时间里金价1250-1350美元间震荡，最终或在一个价位附近企稳。
国际现货黄金亚太时段开盘震荡走高，并刷新1298.20美元/盎司日高，随后小幅回落1290美元附近。欧洲时段中，现货黄金先抑后扬，但仍处在1290美元上方。纽约时段中，现货黄金扩大跌幅，并刷新1278美元/盎司日低，最终在该水平附近企稳。
技术分析：由现货黄金日K线图上看，黄金自1392位置高点以来，直到今天最低点的1278位置，金价走势已经完全形成了新的下降趋势。在黄金下跌的途中，虽然偶尔有所反弹，但是反弹力度非常之弱，同时在下跌期间，MACD绿柱量能持续放大，意味着空头的强势。同时均线已经呈现空头排列，MA5和MA60在昨日出现死叉，导致黄金近期反弹可谓压力重重。我们大田金业认为：在黄金没有明确的触底信号出现之前，建议投资者主要以短线快速操作为主。
做多：开仓位置1280，止损位置1274，止盈位置1290
做空：开仓位置1291，止损位置1295，止盈位置1283.
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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