国际现货黄金窄幅震荡 关注美联储
关键字：国际现货黄金
近几日黄金窄幅震荡的基调，让投资者已经厌倦。然而从今天开始，黄金将迎来2013年最后的重要一周。周内有美国通货膨胀数据，美联储利率决议以及伯南克谢幕。
今晚将公布美国11 月CPI，市场预期为1.3%；低于预期的结果可能对美元构成下行风险，那么CPI 或连续4 个月回落。若11 月CPI 意外高于预期，美联储有望加快缩减QE 的步伐，利好美元，利空黄金。
美国CPI公布之后，市场焦点转向(12月17-18号)美联储年内最后一次利率决议，考虑到美国就业市场加速改善，不排除FOMC 在12 月份削减QE 的可能性。
缩不缩QE 要看今晚CPI 的结果，若今晚公布的通胀水平持续低靡，即使美联储采取行动，其削减规模也可能倾向温和。货币政策( 预期) 并没有对美元短期走势构成显著影响，继续关注该风险事件能否有效推动美元上涨。
最后大田金业分析师认为伯南克应该不愿意看到自己在即将退休的时候大动干戈，以免晚节不保，因此届时他的会后发言应以温和为主调，对黄金的影响或小于此前几次利率会议。
本日金市预计在1235-1255内行走。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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