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金价下跌 实物黄金需求升不足以支撑 维持看跌

关键字:金价下跌、实物黄金

由于仍然受到前一个交易日公布的美国制造业数据向好的影响,12月3日周二金价在接近5个月来低位交易,1218美元/盎司开后最高升至1224美元/盎司,后回落至1220美元/盎司下方波动。

周一公布的美国10月营建指数月率增长0.8%,预期上扬0.4%,折合成年率为9084亿美元,创下自2009年5月来最高值,且升幅为2013年3月来最高。金价受影响在周一下跌2.6%,是两个月以来最大单日跌幅。

在金价下跌的推动下,实物黄金需求有所上升,不过和今年上半年时的盛况尚无法相提并论。

“在年底没有人会下大赌注,特别是当人们在担心QE即将被缩减的时候。”香港利昌金铺的黄金交易主管Ronald Leung说,“这使得人们出售黄金投资在股票市场里,ETF的流出则没有停止,所以这也伤害了市场情绪。”

本周将公布11月的非农数据,这一数据也将对黄金市场产生不小影响。

金价下跌使得亚洲市场实物黄金需求有所增加,但大部分消费者仍处观望状态。中国市场99金溢价从周一的7美元/盎司升至11美元/盎司,不过据四五月的30至40美元/盎司仍有相当大的差距。

大田贵金属分析师建议维持上午操作,1230上方沽空,1200附近买入。



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