预期本周黄金波幅将较大 关注风险事件
关键字：黄金走势
上周虽因美国感恩节假期市场交投兴趣减弱，但国际现货黄金乘机连涨两天，对前半周的跌幅展开修正。而本周对于贵金属投资者而言，最值得关注的莫过于周四将召开的欧洲央行12月政策会议以及周五将公布的美国11月非农就业报告。前者在之前一个月意外宣布降息后存在进一步采取行动的可能，后者则将可能直接决定本月中旬美联储公开市场委员会(FOMC)决策者的决断。美国劳工部将于本周五公布11月非农就业报告，市场预期值为增长18.4万人，上月增长20.4万人。
作为黄金两大消费国中国和印度，在其经济回暖着实给现货黄金带来支撑。香港统计局最新公布的数据显示，10月中国大陆从香港进口的黄金规模攀升至131.2公吨，已连续第六个月突破100公吨，凸显实物需求强劲仍在“尽力”抑制黄金的下行压力。截至今年10月，全年累计进口已达1244吨。自2012年开始，中国已累计进口2000吨黄金，相当于德国官方黄金储备的三分之二。此外，印度在经济持续低迷后初露回暖信号，第三季度GDP年率在出口和投资改善的提振下增长4.8%，高于预期4.6%。
大田贵金属分析师相信在市场消化了美联储退市的忧虑后，金价并会急速反弹。
虽然岁末市场往往平淡，但本周风险事件在即，市场或再掀波澜。金价支持1225，1237，阻力1256，1269，预期本周将反复上落。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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