黄金市场窄幅整理 建议投资者观望
关键字:黄金市场、黄金投资
【基本面】
周一日本市场休市,美国政府关门进入第三周,美国两党谈判无果,中国贸易帐数据差于预期,日元走强,澳元低开反弹。
美国调高债务上限的最后期限10月17日日益临近,汇市继续窄幅震荡。若未来12个小时内将达成一定协议,即使是短期协议,都将令投资者重燃希望。
周末的消息是奥巴马与博纳的谈判崩裂,民主党领导人里德表示“我们尚未达成任何协议”。博纳表示,“民主党拒绝了提案,总统未与我们磋商。”茶党成员Fleming表示,“显然奥巴马从来就没有谈判的意愿,很有可能我们将在10月17日无法提高债务上限。”
市场对美国局势反应不大。各主要货币对窄幅整理,不过澳元/美元在中国CPI和PPI数据后小幅上涨。日本市场休市,交投清淡。
【技术分析】
日线图上看,上周出现了一个持续跌破的趋势,而且在上周五时,也跌破了在8月7日低点1273的显著价位,跌破此价位后,将预示着黄金后市将有进一步下行的可能。
而从形态上看,从7月18日之后的走势看,可理解为是一个头肩顶的形态,那么1273也作为顶肩位,1273被跌破后,也预示着后市的价格将有进一步回落的可能,但从目前黄金市场的走势来看,分析师不建议大家进行追空操作。
首先从行情来看,黄金整体虽然成为一个下降区间,但跌破支撑位1273后,黄金价格有出现反弹,所以从这一角度出发,在区间下沿没有被完整地跌破之前,我们再结合下沿的支撑进行做空,黄金市场的操作并不明智。从分析师的角度看,目前应此前时建立空单,获利了结的时机,而并非是进一步做空的时机,而现价位也不建议大家采取做多的操作,因无论从趋势角度看,还是从整体动能角度看,做多黄金均会承担风险,投资者应等待做空黄金市场的契机,若金价有效跌破1273,并且跌破区间下沿的支撑位,届时大家可能进行空头布局。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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