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黄金反弹势头弱 金价或再次下探1280

关键字:黄金反弹、黄金下跌

美国债务谈判继续,或将有所进展,市场仍维持谨慎,亚市早盘金价或将窄幅震荡。若奥巴马总统和众议院领导人就临时的提高债务上限议案达成一致的话,将打压黄金的避险需求。有分析师表示,美国国会此议案只是缓兵之计,可能临时为股市带来提振,但对金价的影响或将有限。另一方面,由于美国政府关门以及疲弱的劳动就业报告,或将会使的美联储推迟开始缩减其资产购买计划的时间,此预期短期或将为黄金带来一些支撑。

欧洲早盘,黄金下跌创日内新低1283.5美元。美国债务问题或有望改善,避险情绪降温打压黄金走弱。技术上金价短期持续受阻8月末以来下行趋势线,下方重要支持关注日图前低1272和1275美元,关注上述位置能否提供有效支持,下破无疑打开大幅下行空间,企稳则有望反弹修正,短期或维持震荡,倾向使用区间交易策略。

目前,金价下方的支撑位依然有效,例如1280/1300区间此前多次阻挡金价下行,但其反弹势头明显变弱,不仅无法像2011年出现类似的美国债务谈判危机后对金价产生拉升,而且已然弱于今年8月金价的那波反弹势头。因此,金价目前的整体趋势偏空。从图形上来看,9月以来金价上方已经形成明显的阻力线,未来金价可能再次向下试探1280支撑线所在,一旦跌穿则将进一步向1200整数大关跌去。



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