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黄金价格对白银的升跌作用

关键字:白银价格走势

黄金白银作为贵金属,具有一些共同的特征,因而金价与银价紧密相关。经常跟踪各种贵金属走势的投资者都知道,金价和银价的走势相关性极大,有时候银价先于金价突破,也有时候银价的走势则滞后于金价的走势,但最终银价会赶上金价。这就意味着我们可以通过走势领先的黄金或者白银,来判断另外一种品质的走势。

2009年,黄金全年上涨25.5%,同期白银全年上涨48.7%,涨幅接近黄金的一倍。2010年,黄金全年上涨29.6%,同期白银全年上涨83%,涨幅是黄金的2.8倍。2011年,黄金全年上涨10.2%,同期白银却走了一个过山车行情,全年不但没有上涨,而是略微下跌,下跌幅度为9.76%。

另外,黄金与白银的比率,也可以给我们一些指引。从趋势上看,黄金和白银的比率和白银的价格没有明显的相关性,但是当黄金和白银的比率接近阶段性顶部或底部时,对黄金及白银价格走势就有指导意义。

当黄金与白银的比率接近40时,白银的价格处于阶段性的高位;而当黄金与白银的比率接近80时,银价往往处于阶段性的底部。

另外,在投资白银时,还要关注美元走势。因为白银和黄金一样,在主要交易市场上是由美元标价的,所以大部分时间内银价与美元呈负相关性。作为决定性因素之一,美元的贬值会令白银相对便宜,刺激白银的购买增加。

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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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