黄绍山：利率决议来袭，黄金何去何从
关键字：利率决议
我们回顾一下本周的黄金，黄金在踏入本周加息周后迎来了一段不错的上涨，从周一的1235附近，到今天周三早间冲高的1251附近，总体来看本周黄金还是较为强势，而在周四凌晨三点钟即将迎来十二月份美联储议息利率决议，而反观黄金方面，由于大数据来临，黄金日内波幅或以震荡来过渡。
黄金走势良好，但指标存疑
我们从4小时级别可以看到，盘面呈现出十分强劲的上涨趋势给到我们，但是MACD方面却出现了一点小问题，由于日内早上冲高50的动作，令目前小时级别MACD存在着有机会形成顶背离的情况所出现，如果四小时MACD做出死叉那么这一个顶背离将会成立，意味着行情或有往下调整的需求所在，若晚间数据令黄金下跌，则黄金或将迎来调整，但如果利多黄金，随着黄金价格上涨MACD持续走高，那么这个背离也就没有存在一说，所以今晚的美联储议息会议也是我们急需要留意的，
美联储利率决议
在晚间的美联储决议，市场预期晚间也是大概率的加息，从2%-2.25%利率区间上调至2.25%-2.5%区间，同时也完成了美联储在本年内预期的第四次加息，但是晚间着重的关注点并不在于此，而是在于美联储接下来公布的经济预期及加息点阵图还有更为重要的接下来凌晨三点半的鲍威尔新闻发布会。
晚间鲍威尔如何看待下一年的加息前景也是晚间关注的重点之一，但在鲍威尔最后一次发言当中，市场认为鲍威尔的发言没有相对以前的有鹰派，并认为目前利率略低于中性利率区间，借此市场认为鲍威尔或有转为鸽派的可能性，那么晚间需要关注鲍威尔对中性利率的看法也是晚间的重点之一，届时各位切记做好风控措施。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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