美国失业率升至七个月高点,金价承压大幅下挫
上周五美国公布强劲非农就业数据,非农就业岗位增加33.9万,超过预期的增加19万,但失业率从4月的3.4%的53年低点上升至3.7%,令黄金价格出现大幅承压的情况,价格高位回落逾35美元。
美联储加息预期降温压制美元
货币市场目前认为美联储6月加息的概率约为29%,低于上周早些时候的近70%。费城联储主席哈克上周四表示:“至少是时候在一次会议上按下停止键,看看情况如何。”一天前,美联储理事杰斐逊说:“跳过一次加息,将使委员会在做出关于进一步收紧政策的决定之前看到更多数据”。
Bannockburn Global Forex的首席市场策略师Marc Chandler说:“挑战在于,美联储已经进入了(联邦公开市场委员会)会议之前的静默期,这意味着在这份就业报告之后,将很难看到官员们的回应或任何指引。”
美国参议院上周四晚间通过了一项暂停债务上限以避免灾难性违约的法案,使美元失去了一个主要支撑,由于其避险地位,美元曾自相矛盾地成为不确定性的主要受益者。。
美国5月劳动力市场失去动能
美国5月份就业增长加快,但失业率飙升至3.7%的七个月高点,表明劳动力市场吃紧的状况正在缓解,这可能给美联储跳过本月加息提供了理由。劳工部上周五报告,5月失业率从4月触及的3.4%的53年低点升至3.7%,创2020年4月以来最大升幅,若剔除新冠大流行时期,创2010年以来最大升幅,反映家庭就业人口下降和劳动力人口上升。5月薪资增长放缓应该会给正努力让通胀回到2%目标的美联储官员带来一些安慰。调查显示,5月非农就业岗位增加33.9万个。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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