在黄金交易中,“羊群效应”往往只会把自己引向失败!
“羊群效应”这个词,最早出现在是投资市场上,它是指在交易过程中,投资者会不自觉地学习和模仿其他投资者交易行为的现象。简单做个类比就是,如果我们将木棍放在一群绵羊的前面。 第一只羊跳过去后,第二和第三只羊也会跟著跳过去。这时,即使我们撤回木棍,后面的绵羊来到了这里,也会像前面的绵羊一样跳著过去,即使木棍已经不在那了。这就是所谓的“羊群效应”,也称为“整合心理学”。
之所以在投资中会出现羊群效应,正是因为投资者对市场掌握的信息不足,或者缺乏系统了解,很难对市场的未来不确定性做出合理的预期,常常只能通过观察周围人的行为来提取信息。在不断传递这些信息时,许多人的信息将大致相同并相互增强,从而导致很多投资者在某个时期,他们所做的交易操作都完全一模一样。
而这种羊群效应的心理,往往会使我们失去对市场的理性判断,盲目跟从他人做单操作,一旦他人投资方向是错的,我们也会走上错误的道路,蒙受亏损。所以在黄金投资市场上,投资者在听从他人建议时,也要保持理性的独立思考,不能人云亦云,一定要根据自己的投资知识、技巧判断市场大势,谨慎做单才能稳步获利。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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