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“羊群效应”,一种让你丧失理智的魔咒!

在投资行情好的时候,我们在街边都可能看到三三两两的人在闲聊投资。如果你周围的人对市场都有某种一只的看法,你很可能也会跟从他们的看法。最后,在交易行为上也会和他们保持一致!没有思考,跟着别人交易是可怕的。这种行为也叫“羊群效应”。

“羊群效应”最早是投资市场中的一个术语,主要是指投资者在交易过程中存在学习与模仿现象,如“有样学样”,盲目效仿别人,从而导致他们在某段时期内会做相同的交易。 在一群羊前面横放一根木棍,第一只羊跳了过去,第二只、第三只也会跟着跳过去;这时,把那根棍子撤走,后面的羊,走到这里,仍然像前面的羊一样,向上跳一下,尽管拦路的棍子已经不在了,这就是所谓的“羊群效应”也称“从众心理”。

羊群行为是行为金融学领域中比较典型的一种现象,主流金融理论无法对之解释。在经济学中,“羊群心理”这个术语经常被用来描述经济个体的羊群心理。羊群是一种很散乱的组织,但一旦有一只头羊动起来,其他的羊也会不假思索地一哄而上,全然不顾前面可能有狼或者不远处有更好的草。因此,“羊群效应”就是比喻人都有一种从众心理,从众心理很容易导致盲从,而盲从往往会陷入骗局或遭到失败。

在投资市场,投资者应该时刻保持清醒的头脑,绝对不能做一只糊涂的羊。想做到这点,你要多学习投资知识,比如基本面分析和技术面分析等。能从多个角度看问题,就不容易糊涂!


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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