美国2013年Q4经济成长优于预期
关键字：美国经济成长
美国2013年第四季经济成长优于先前估计，展现经济的潜在实力，显示今年年初活动趋缓可能只是暂时现象。
美国商务部经济分析局(BEA)27日公布了去年第四季GDP的第三度统计报告，成长年率上修至2.6%，高于先前估计的成长2.4%，主因消费支出优于先前统计。路透社访调预估去年第四季经济成长率为2.7%。
尽管去年第四季成长率低于第三季的4.1%，但是细项数据显示经济情况好转。消费支出创2010年底以来最大增幅；Q4实质个人消费支出(PCE)成长年率上修至3.3%，高于先前估计的2.6%，也优于去年Q3的2%。消费支出占美国GDP七成比重。
消费支出增加支持许多分析师的看法，认为尽管年初头两个月有极端天候搅局，今年仍将强劲成长，主要是增税影响渐减，加上股价和房价上扬，都提高消费火力。Macroeconomic Advisers预期，今年Q1将成长1.5%，之后将大力反弹至成长3%以上。
第四季美国国内物价指数增长1.5%，增幅低于前季的1.8%；除食品与能源的物价指数增长1.8%，增幅高于前季的1.5%。
第四季实质商品与服务出口上修至9.5%，远优于前季的增长3.9%，为另一亮点。进口增长1.5%，前季为增长2.4%。
第四季实质非住宅固定投资下修至5.7%，前季为增长4.8%；住宅固定投资下滑至7.9%，前季为增长10.3%。
第四季民间库存对GDP成长的贡献度为0.02个百分点，前季的贡献度为1.67个百分点。民间企业库存在第四季增加了1,117亿美元，前季为增加1,157亿美元。
第四季实质国内最终销售产值(GDP扣除民间库存投资)成长年率为2.7%，前季为2.5%。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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