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美联储官员支持结束QE 美元走强

关键字:美联储官员

周三亚市澳元/美元进一步下跌60点逼近上周非农就业数据公布前的水平0.8900,延续昨日自0.9050上方以来的跌势。

亚市利空澳元的因素都于中国有关,公布的中国12月新增人民币的贷款减少至4835亿人民币,同时世界银行将中国今年经济增速的预测从8%下调至7.7%,尽管同时上调了全球经济增长预期。

对于日元,美元/日元进一步升至104.44,日经指数上涨超过2%,风险偏好改善再次继续令日元承压。市场消息称北美时段在105、105.50存在大量的期权到期,或抑制汇价进一步反弹。

亚市加元和瑞郎也大幅下跌,美元/加元逼近1.10关口创三年新高。欧元/美元引发1.6540下方止损后快速下跌,而英镑/美元维持在窄幅区间内波动。纽元兑美元走低至0.8330,隔夜上行再次在0.8400关键遭遇卖压。金价失守1250美元后今日继续走低,银价受阻关键阻力20.50美元后继续回调。

显然,今日亚市美元全面走强主导了汇市。如市场年初所普遍预期的美元强势气氛渐浓,尤其是昨日美联储两位鹰派官员均支持结束QE,增强投资者对美元看涨的信心。费城联储主席普罗索周二表示,美国经济增长速度较过去数年更加稳健,美联储倾向于2014年底结束购债。达拉斯联储主席费舍尔也称,美联储越快结束其购债规模越好,即使是缩减购债的代价是股市大幅震荡。因为随着美联储购债规模的增加,将会令通胀风险上行并且令美联储退出QE的难度更大。

未来还有多位官员发表讲话,若越来越多的官员支持削减QE,那么在美国经济显现更多强势指标的背景下,美元将逐步走强,而利差和基本面背离将使得非美货币仍表现疲软。值得注意的是欧元,尽管年初以来市场一派看空欧元,但到目前为止欧元仍相对坚挺,短期也密切关注更多的利空信号。

 

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