中国2013年货物贸易规模料超越美国,跃全球第一
关键字：中国2013年货物贸易规模
大公网报导,中国大陆与美国在货物贸易规模的激烈竞争可说是难分难解。2012年,中国大陆以些微之差排在美国之后;如今,据初步估算,2013年,中国大陆货物贸易规模几乎确定能超越美国,跃升为全球第一货物贸易大国。
据了解,根据美国已公布的前十个月货物贸易数据和中国大陆已公布的前十一个月货物贸易数据,并按照WTO所采纳的国际贸易统计口径初步估算,即使中国大陆2013年12月的进出口总值增速为零,全年进出口总值也能达4.14兆美元;而美国2013年全年货物贸易总值若要与中国大陆持平,则其在11、12月货物贸易增速必须达到37.5%,几乎可说是一项「不可能的任务」。
对此,业内专家表示,虽然此项数据超越美国具有象征意义,但从结构和利润分配方面来看,中国大陆仍离「贸易强国」还有一定程度的差距,主要差距的包括商品结构、占据价值链位置、国际贸易规则话语权制定等;而最直接的数据与最核心问题都均反映在服务贸易领域。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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