伯南克：未来压低短期利率 重点放「前瞻性指引」
关键字：伯南克、美国短期利率
联储局(FED)现任主席柏南克(Ben S. Bernanke)宣称，FED不想再用其资产负债表来刺激经济复苏，希望未来在压低短期利率时，能把更多重点放在「前瞻性指引」(forward guidance)上面，但策略转向的时间点仍不确定。根据FED发布的新闻稿，柏南克在美东时间19日晚间对华盛顿D.C.全美经济学家俱乐部(National Economists Club)晚宴发表的演说稿中表示，量化宽松货币政策(QE)减码的时间仍端赖就业市场能否持续改善、通膨率是否升高至央行设定的2%目标而定。柏南克并指出，即使量化宽松货币政策(QE)完全结束、失业率降到6.5%的升息门坎，FED仍可能会在很长一段时间内将联邦基金利率保持在低档。他甚至提出「在经济数据足以让货币政策开始紧缩前、联邦基金利率都会接近于零」的新说法。
有「债券天王」美誉的债券基金操盘手葛洛斯(Bill Gross)10月16日在接受CNBC节目「Street Signs」专访时曾经表示，FED下任主席叶伦(Janet Yellen)应该会在前瞻性指引中宣示，她计划将0-0.25%的联邦基金利率维持到2015年底、甚至是2016年。FED在2008年11月启动第一轮QE，希望能压低利率、进而支撑房市并刺激经济复苏。不过，QE实施五年后就业市场却依旧疲软，让这种方法是否有效的争论在最近愈加激烈。FED前任官员Andrew Huzar 11月11日就曾在华尔街日报(WSJ)撰文为自己是执行QE的一员向美国人民致歉，因为QE不但未发挥应有功效、还沦为华尔街银行走后门的工具，对普罗大众根本无路用。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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