美国就业增幅慢 金价走势上升
关键字：金价走势
【基本面】
在数据显示美国民间部门就业增幅低于预期后，金价升势加速，数据凸显就业市场稳定但增长仍然缓慢。
美国政府部份机构停运进入第二天，投资人对华府有多快达成政治妥协的忧虑加重。未来几周国会必须为上调美国举债上限达成一致，否则美国将面临违约，且可能导致全球市场震荡。
和周二相反，标普500指数周三下跌，且诸如美债和黄金等避险资产上涨。
投资市场变化难测，美国政府停运、债务上限谈判未有结果、国债有可能违约，惟市场对此局势却异常地乐观，深信政府停运只属短暂，看来早前的忧虑情绪，都是股市调整的藉口而已。
【美元后盘】
若局部关闭的政府部门能于本周内重开，相信将有助美元扭转近期的弱势及出现较强力的反弹浪。美汇指数本周二曾跌破80心理关口，并低见79.86，但美汇指数在80心理关口以下却有强劲承接力，80关口很快便失而复得，收市时日线图已呈现近似锤头的利好形态。目前美汇指数自上述低位的反弹正受制于10天SMA阻力，若稍后能成功突破收市，预料将挑战近期跌幅的50%反弹目标，若美元能够成功止跌回升，预料近期表现疲弱的美元兑瑞郎将会受惠回升。
【行情分析】
从走势来看，金价自2009年后一直在150天线上攀升，今年以来150天线却变成阻力，8月底反弹至1,400美元后遇阻。投资需求减少，美国退市方向主导黄金后市，前景不见得乐观，若未来几年持续低息，黄金的弊端是没法带来收入。中国内地A股长假休市，港股持续有炒作活动。
金价周三急升逾2%，因美元下跌及美股下滑，引发投资人低吸黄金，令金价扳回上日录得的大部份跌幅。
1844GMT，现货金上升2.4%，报每盎司1,316.41美元，从稍早触及的两个月低位1,278.24美元反弹大约40美元。
美国12月期金 收高34.60美元，报每盎司1,320.70美元。路透初步数据显示，成交量较30日均值高出约5%。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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