美制造业增速放缓,Fed会议前金价料持续震荡
周二(11月2日)亚洲时段,现货黄金交投于1800下方。周一(11月1日)金价小幅上涨,因美元走软,且美国10月制造业增速放缓,不过美股创新高限制了金价,同时拜登的1.75万亿支出计划在国会受挫。日内并没有美国方面的数据,主要关注澳洲联储利率决议。
美元小跌,关注美联储本周会议结果
美元周一走低,前一交易日曾录得逾四个月来的最大单日涨幅,交易员为本周备受期待的美联储政策会议做准备。
本周市场聚焦美国、澳洲和英国的货币政策,美联储料将宣布缩减刺激政策,最近几周这个因素已经提振美元上涨。
BK Asset Management外汇部门董事总经理Boris Schlossberg在谈到美元回调时表示:“最近几天美元上涨了这么多,我认为这只是在联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)开会之前的一些仓位调整,以防联储保持相对鸽派的态度。”
Schlossberg在谈到将于周三发布的美联储政策声明时表示:“我仍然认为,他们很有可能会试图淡化通胀,同时继续尽可能地坚持通胀暂时论的信息,我认为他们现在还不是真的想要创造真正收紧政策的条件。”
美国10月制造业增长放缓
10月美国制造企业继续因为供应链问题承压,供应商交货时间延长,库存指标升高。
根据周一公布的数据,供应管理协会(ISM)的制造业指数从9月的61.1降至60.8。读数高于50表明扩张。接受彭博调查的经济学家预期中值为60.5。
ISM的供应商交货指标升至五个月高位,表明生产商面临更长的原材料交货时间。劳动力短缺,间歇性停工和创纪录的商品进口使美国港口不堪重负,延误了交付时间。
这也导致库存指标急剧上升,达到1984年以来的最高水平。
ISM制造业调查委员会主席Timothy Fiore表示,“面对不断增长的需求,企业和供应商需要克服的挑战达到史无前例的水平”。
Fiore说:“制造业所有领域都受到创纪录的原材料交付周期,关键材料持续短缺,大宗商品价格上涨以及产品运输困难的影响。”
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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