美元触及一年高位，黄金创近七周新低
周三(9月29日)美元指数刷新近一年高点至94.43，尽管美国政府在债务上限问题上陷入僵局，有可能导致停摆，但作为全球最大的储备货币，美元在市场压力大的时候被视为一种避险押注，美元最近几天走强，因投资者转而关注对全球经济放缓、能源价格上涨和美债收益率大幅上升的担忧。COMEX黄金期货连续第二个交易日下跌，收于3月底以来的最低水平；白银期货下跌4.4%，收于每盎司21.485美元，创2020年7月以来的最低收盘价。美国库存意外增加后油价下跌，尽管OPEC仍计划维持缓慢增产政策。
鲍威尔表示德尔塔病毒是经济发展的瓶颈
美联储主席鲍威尔表示，美国经济前景高度不确定。在联邦政府一系列政策的救助之下，我们已经获得强劲的需求。现在是供给侧在拖美国经济的后腿。新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株已经在最近数月妨碍取得进展。随着供应瓶颈问题得到控制/趋于缓和，通胀料将出现回落。瓶颈问题对通胀的推升时间超过我原来的想象。通胀飙升不至于造成持续的高通胀。
欧元正从边缘回归
欧洲央行行长拉加德表示，欧元区正从边缘状态回归，但尚未摆脱新冠肺炎流行病疫情所造成的困境。欧元区料将在2021年年底时恢复至新冠肺炎流行病疫情之前的状态。在部分地区，供应瓶颈正在恶化。不确定性对欧元区经济增长构成威胁。
英国行长希望锚定通胀预期
英国央行行长贝利：新冠肺炎疫情造成的经济影响趋于缓和。但复苏并不均衡。希望供应链瓶颈问题是暂时性的。锚定通胀预期具有重要意义。关键在于，观察劳动力供应和通胀预期。对英国供给侧所遭受冲击的原因缺乏共识。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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