美债收益率攀升金价持稳，布油逼近80美元
周一(9月27日)美元小幅上涨，10年期美债收益率突破1.50%关口，创近三个月新高。现货黄金冲高回落，盘中一度涨超10美元，尾盘涨幅基本全部回吐；投资者继续对美联储发出的即将缩减购债规模信号做出反应。美油涨逾2%，收于每桶75.45美元，创2018年10月以来即期合约最高收盘价。天然气飙升13%至每百万英热单位5.896美元，创2014年2月以来新高。
鲍威尔讲稿：就业市场仍未实现目标，供应链问题推高物价
美联储主席鲍威尔在为国会参议院银行委员会准备的讲稿中表示：美联储将竭尽所能地支持经济复苏。通胀高企，恐将维持一段时间，然后趋于温和。瓶颈问题所造成的影响比我们原来所预料的更加深远，也更加顽固。美联储已于8月31日完成二级市场公司信用贷款便利工具（SCCF）的出售工作。美国经济的演变路径将取决于新冠肺炎疫情，前景仍然面临诸多风险。
两名联储官员表示通胀稳定，预计2023年加息
纽约联储主席威廉姆斯表示，更长周期的美国通胀预期相对稳定，通胀料将在2022年回落至2%附近，朝着充分就业目标继续取得进展，但在充分就业方面还有很长的路要走，可能很快就会满足美联储减码QE的条件。复苏体现出稳固的动能，但我们需要耐心。
芝加哥联储主席埃文斯预计FOMC将在2023年开始加息。美联储可能会在2023年加息一次，之后“缓慢地加息”。到2021年年底，美国失业率料将回落至5.0%下方。由于供应效应的缘故，美国2022年通胀可能会高于我之前的预估。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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