美债收益再度上涨，黄金回吐涨幅
关键词：美债收益再度上涨
3月16日，现货黄金在关口附近徘徊，由于美元指数走强，美债收益率再度攀升的原因，现货黄金上涨受到一定的牵制，而投资者则期待从美联储这两天的政策会议中找到更多的市场指引。
最大的风险在于美联储，如果美联储不干预债市，你可能会看到黄金有一天出现恐慌性抛售。未来几个月黄金可能会随着美债收益率上升而上涨，因为收益率接近2%可能会打击持续的股市买盘，恢复黄金作为避险资产的吸引力。
周二公布的经济数据显示美国2月零售销售下降3%，此外，2月工业产出同样下降2.2%；数据公布后金价也有所上涨。Wolfpack Capital首席投资官Jeff Wright表示，2月零售销售、上周的就业数据、国债收益率数据与美元水平等数据描述的通胀状况相互矛盾，这令金价无所适从。
美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)为期两天的会议将于周三结束，预计美联储将重申把利率维持在近零水平，直到经济实现充分就业。
鉴于1.9万亿美元刺激计划以及防疫封锁的逐步解除，交易员们预测经济复苏将迫使美联储提前动手。欧洲美元合约显示，到2022年12月，美联储收紧政策的概率大约为75%。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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