美元持续走低,黄金再度突破
关键词:黄金再度突破
12月3日,现货黄金在1840关口附近震荡,由于市场考虑美国新经济刺激计划的前景,美元走软以及疫苗研发进展等多种因素,在种种权衡下,黄金不断实现突破,目前正在冲击新关口。
美国众议院议长南希·佩洛西和参议院民主党领袖查克·舒默支持以9080亿美元的两党方案作为与国会共和党人和白宫进行新一轮谈判的基础。这推动美国股市在周四再创新高,美元跌至91.50,创2018年4月以来新低。
道明证券(TD Securities)表示,此前金价的下行可能已经差不多告一段落了。在这轮抛售后,市场大量多头被洗去,不过留下的多头手里持有高于均值的持仓,意味着他们是对多头更有信心的交易员。该行认为到今年年底前金价会继续走高,明年受到通胀预期影响,回到2000美元/盎司关口上方。
股市的表现也是黄金投资者们需要关注的一方面。年末到来,美股继续高涨,市场会变得更倾向于风险。但市场面临着投资者获利了结的风险,并且美股非常依赖于疫苗的表现,实际利率和其它宏观环境则都是利好黄金的。
上个月黄金价格回落,因为新冠疫苗的突破削弱了人们对避险资产的需求。不过,黄金仍有望创出十年来的最大年度涨幅。美国政府推出新一轮经济刺激措施的前景压低了美元,提振了黄金价格。尽管如此,一些投资者仍继续远离避险资产,彭博汇编的初步数据显示,黄金ETF持仓量连续第八天下降。
分析师称,尽管美国达成经济刺激协议的前景利好黄金,但在1850美元面临阻力。他表示,突破1850美元将是一个重大走势,不过在短期内黄金还会面临严重挑战。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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