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济复苏乐观,黄金跌至新低

关键词:经济复苏乐观

11月27日,现货黄金出现巨大跌幅,由于疫苗不断传来好消息,市场认为美国经济可能在疫苗的推动下快速复苏,同时美国总统也即将平稳过渡。目前投资者普遍追捧股市和抛售贵金属。国内多家银行宣布暂停贵金属新开账户。

对疫苗的乐观情绪,以及投资者押注拜登上台后全球贸易趋稳,带动美国股市窜升至纪录高位,令金价进一步承压。有分析称,今日多家银行集体宣布暂停贵金属新开账户,这也是助推国际金价大幅回落的主要因素。据悉,上海黄金交易所的开户通道已全面暂停开户,恢复时间未知。

此前,包括工行、建行、农行、交行、招行等在内的五家银行均就账户贵金属做出风险提示,并暂停相类账户的新客户开立。各家银行给出的暂停新客户开立账户原因均与受国际政治经济形势及新冠疫情等影响,贵金属市场价格波动剧烈,投资交易风险加大有关。

金价一跌破关键的1800美元关口,就引发了一波抛售。鉴于我们有像疫苗这样强有力的基本面因素,金价很可能会测试1750美元的水平。

黄金今日晚间大幅下挫或可归因于感恩节假期期间流动性减小,波动性放大,以及资金从黄金流向比特币。从技术上来看,黄金下一个下行目标位为今年3月以来上行趋势的斐波那契50%回撤位1763.51水平。

就目前来看,黄金短期内仍是偏向下行的。从长期来看,鉴于超低利率和经济中出现更多刺激措施的前景,未来金价前景并不会太好。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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