鲍威尔讲话带来严重信息，黄金走出“过山车”
关键词：黄金走出“过山车”
8月27日，现货黄金再度上演过山车行情，短线拉升后快速跳水，由于美联储调整政策框架后美债收益率明显攀升，不过鲍威尔关于若通胀显著高于平均2%目标将采取行动的说法，让投资者感到了不安。
鲍威尔在美联储年度政策研讨会上表示，美联储将寻求随时间推移通胀平均水平达到2％。这一举措意味着美联储将允许出现通胀在某些时期过冲。分析人士称，美联储这种方法可能也表明决策者将保持低利率，这对于不生息的黄金将是一个福音。鲍威尔也提到了一种风险，称“如果将要产生过度的通货膨胀压力，或者通货膨胀预期要超过与我们的目标相符合的水平，”美联储将采取行动。
市场已经普遍预期这一举措。美联储没有明确承诺将维持低利率多久，也没有明确承诺将允许通胀上升到多高。美联储已经大举刺激经济，并将利率维持在接近零的水平，以提振美国经济免受冠状病毒的冲击。投资者认为美联储如果没有比保持低利率更多的措施，仅靠这些政策调整可能不够改变现状，在没有看到更多措施的情况下，黄金的对冲通胀买盘略显不足。
鲍威尔讲话后，美元指数大幅飙升，一度较日低回升逾90点至93.33；三十年期美债收益率一度升至1.50%，为6月24日以来最高；这令金价承压。分析师表示，鲍威尔关于如果通胀显著高于平均2%的目标则美联储将采取行动的说法可能使投资者受到了惊吓。
不少机构仍看好黄金前景分析师说：“我们预计金价将保持强劲支撑，因为鲍威尔的言论清楚地反映出，经济从新冠危机中复苏将是长期和渐进的，需要央行提供足够的支持以避免倒退。”
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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