黄金倒V波动,上行趋势受阻
关键词:黄金倒V波动
8月10日,现货黄金在冲高后出现明显回落,行情呈倒V变化,虽然美元回升让投资者对于黄金减少了投资热情,但也推动了投资者抛售黄金获利了结,同时由于美国最近经济数据表现良好, 美联储可能不会进行激进宽松政策。
分析师表示,这只是这波升势中的自然回调,人们只是在获利了结,因金价经历了如此快速的上行,且美元过去两天一直在上涨。
美元回升影响了投资者们对黄金的态度,并且在大涨后也更倾向于获利了结。金价回落修正是合理的,主要还是取决于市场对美元的看法,目前贸易问题的紧张局势都是利好美元的。美元往往被视为避险资产,近期贸易局势紧张使得不少投资者选择了美元避险,这使得美元计价的黄金承压。
资金大量涌入全球最大黄金交易所买卖基金(ETF)SPDR Gold后,部分投资者”收手“,以致该ETF上周五录得3.82亿美元资金流出,尽管相对于该个规模820亿美元的ETF而言只是小数目,但流失的资金仍是3月以来最多。
不过也有分析师认为黄金在当前价格水平上出现回调是健康的。市场回撤并释放一些空间是健康的。随着各国央行继续印钞来支持全球经济,黄金被认为是抑制通胀的最可靠选择。
黄金价格在没有适当回落的情况下迅速上涨。对此分析师表示:“金价可能很容易测试其10日移动均线切入位2011美元,然后回升。由于大量投资者离场观望,需要等待回调后进入黄金市场,因此预计所有价格回调都可以被视作是买点。我们看到买家在这些回调中突然冒出来,黄金的低点正在逐步的抬升,这是涨势加速的迹象。未来几年的货币政策将使利率保持在接近零的水平,美国和全球将推出大规模的刺激计划,这将导致美元贬值。正是这种货币政策推动了黄金的上涨。”
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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